Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 3.144265e-02 0.037216 0.043222 0.049897 0.057071 0.064515 0.072791
2026-01-04 2.145211e-02 0.029382 0.038197 0.048537 0.060165 0.072699 0.087099
2026-01-11 1.629411e-02 0.025469 0.036261 0.049454 0.064778 0.081717 0.101583
2026-01-18 1.239029e-02 0.022183 0.034350 0.049779 0.068190 0.088952 0.113689
2026-01-25 9.498565e-03 0.019591 0.032821 0.050166 0.071344 0.095623 0.124915
2026-02-01 7.058233e-03 0.017114 0.031075 0.049989 0.073586 0.101043 0.134540
2026-02-08 4.479271e-03 0.013804 0.027806 0.047559 0.072833 0.102739 0.139672
2026-02-15 2.986745e-03 0.011814 0.026079 0.046904 0.074093 0.106686 0.147309
2026-02-22 2.107153e-03 0.010652 0.025390 0.047511 0.076844 0.112352 0.156910
2026-03-01 1.451095e-03 0.009691 0.024876 0.048265 0.079717 0.118117 0.166589
2026-03-08 1.058227e-03 0.009178 0.024992 0.049843 0.083615 0.125109 0.177713
2026-03-15 6.672027e-04 0.008424 0.024620 0.050672 0.086499 0.130827 0.187289
2026-03-22 6.400682e-04 0.008913 0.026471 0.054861 0.094006 0.142512 0.204359
2026-03-29 1.873647e-04 0.007262 0.024450 0.053360 0.093986 0.144884 0.210252
2026-04-05 5.402517e-05 0.006619 0.024135 0.054312 0.097192 0.151251 0.220963
2026-04-12 2.050725e-07 0.005845 0.023457 0.054652 0.099533 0.156506 0.230304
2026-04-19 NaN 0.005168 0.022860 0.055058 0.101926 0.161799 0.239670
2026-04-26 NaN 0.004397 0.021931 0.054872 0.103459 0.165970 0.247636
2026-05-03 NaN 0.003147 0.019619 0.052320 0.101609 0.165741 0.250119
2026-05-10 NaN 0.002486 0.018512 0.051632 0.102300 0.168729 0.256536
2026-05-17 NaN 0.002164 0.018217 0.052269 0.104848 0.174100 0.265900
2026-05-24 NaN 0.001902 0.018027 0.053061 0.107602 0.179732 0.275582
2026-05-31 NaN 0.001810 0.018340 0.054719 0.111598 0.186981 0.287281